PaperS7713
Will the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope Detect Extra-Solar Planetesimals Entering the Solar System?
Moro-Martín, Turner and Loeb model ordinary interstellar planetesimals using uncertain stellar populations, ejection, size distributions and albedo. Their historical 2009 forecast for inactive objects gives a conditional lifetime expectation of order 0.0001–0.01, described as about a 0.01%–1% chance of one detection. A larger narrow-size scenario is explicitly unsupported by cited constraints. Figures and tables are theoretical scenarios. Survey selection, activity, disruption and survival limit the forecast. No new detection, artificiality or experimental replication is established.
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